Bayes' Theorem Part-2 -- Intuitive understanding

[anish-arya]

If not following the conversation and missed the previous post, please referred the below link to understand the former definition of Bayes’ Theorem.

The Bayes’ Theorem - An Introduction

The Bayes’ Theorem - An Introduction In statistics and applied mathematics , the Bayes’ theorem also referred to as the Bayes’ rule may be a mathematical formula wont to determine the contingent probability of events. Essentially, the Bayes’ theorem describes the probability of an occasion supported prior knowledge of the conditions which may be relevant to the event. The theorem is known as after english statistician, Bayes , who discovered the formula in 1763. it’s considered the inspiratio…

Bayes’ Theorem Part-2 – Intuitive understanding

The man was sitting together with his back to a wonderfully flat and perfectly square table. Then he asked his assistant to throw the ball on the table. Obviously, this ball could have landed and ended up but during a more analytical way.

So, he asked his assistant to throw another ball on the table and tell if it landed on the left or on the proper , or on the front or at the rear of the primary ball. He wrote that down, then he asked the assistant to throw more and more balls on the table.

He knows that with this method he could update his initial idea of where the primary ball was landed. But in fact , he could never be completely sure, but with each new proof, he would chop down the uncertainty and become more and more accurate.

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[anish-arya]

Bayes’ Theorem Part-2 – Intuitive understanding continued, the pieces missed above.

And that’s how Bayes saw the planet , that’s his thinking experiment. isn’t “> it isn’t that he thought that the planet is not defined, that reality doesn’t exist, but that we will not realize it perfectly, and every one we will hope to try to to is to renew our understanding as more and more evidence emerges. i think it is a truly scientific-approach to knowledge.

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